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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.53+0.86vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.32+1.02vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.48-0.01vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.12+2.74vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-0.46-0.60vs Predicted
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6University of Tennessee-1.90+0.38vs Predicted
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7Clemson University-0.88-1.90vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-1.93-1.52vs Predicted
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9University of Tennessee-3.12-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86North Carolina State University1.5346.4%1st Place
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3.02Jacksonville University0.3218.4%1st Place
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2.99Jacksonville University0.4818.7%1st Place
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6.74University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.121.3%1st Place
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4.4University of North Carolina-0.466.5%1st Place
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6.38University of Tennessee-1.901.8%1st Place
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5.1Clemson University-0.884.5%1st Place
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6.48University of South Carolina-1.931.8%1st Place
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8.02University of Tennessee-3.120.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 46.4% | 30.9% | 15.2% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Mattice | 18.4% | 21.9% | 23.7% | 18.4% | 12.1% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joe Seiffert | 18.7% | 22.5% | 23.4% | 19.1% | 10.9% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cade Boguslaw | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 20.0% | 27.6% | 15.5% |
| May Proctor | 6.5% | 9.3% | 14.6% | 20.6% | 20.6% | 16.9% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Kyle Shrewsbury | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 17.0% | 23.2% | 21.6% | 10.8% |
| Matthew Laufer | 4.5% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 15.2% | 20.1% | 18.9% | 15.3% | 7.8% | 2.2% |
| Sam Lookadoo | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 17.9% | 22.1% | 23.2% | 11.6% |
| Mikala Krag | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 16.7% | 59.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.