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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.73+2.02vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.51+3.53vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.57+1.41vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.66+0.21vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.52-0.55vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.60-3.80vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.72-3.05vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut1.93-3.21vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.57-3.38vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.36-2.16vs Predicted
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13McGill University0.34-3.18vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-1.74-1.66vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-1.17-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02Boston College3.730.3%1st Place
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5.53Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.41Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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5.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.660.1%1st Place
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5.45Boston University2.520.1%1st Place
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3.2Harvard University3.600.2%1st Place
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4.95University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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6.79University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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7.62Northeastern University1.570.0%1st Place
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9.84Salve Regina University0.360.0%1st Place
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9.82McGill University0.340.0%1st Place
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12.34University of New Hampshire-1.740.0%1st Place
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11.81Bentley University-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Sinks | 26.1% | 20.7% | 17.8% | 14.7% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Stark | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Arabia | 9.1% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 23.8% | 21.5% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fuller | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 16.3% | 11.4% | 4.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Myles Everett | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 19.8% | 16.9% | 8.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Stephanie Clancy | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 9.8% | 20.2% | 35.5% | 13.1% | 3.4% |
| Anthony Lowther | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 24.7% | 30.0% | 13.2% | 3.1% |
| Emily Chase | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 25.8% | 61.7% |
| Christine Reighley | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 5.9% | 11.9% | 45.4% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.