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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.66+4.18vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.73+1.00vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.51+2.59vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut1.93+2.88vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.60-1.79vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.57-0.66vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.52-1.55vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.72-4.04vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.57-3.39vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.36-2.16vs Predicted
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13McGill University0.34-3.18vs Predicted
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14Bentley University-1.17-2.20vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-1.74-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.660.1%1st Place
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3.0Boston College3.730.3%1st Place
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5.59Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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6.88University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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3.21Harvard University3.600.2%1st Place
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5.34Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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5.45Boston University2.520.1%1st Place
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4.96University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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7.61Northeastern University1.570.0%1st Place
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9.84Salve Regina University0.360.0%1st Place
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9.82McGill University0.340.0%1st Place
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11.8Bentley University-1.170.0%1st Place
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12.32University of New Hampshire-1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Stark | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 27.1% | 20.8% | 18.0% | 13.8% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 6.4% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fuller | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 16.3% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nick Sertl | 23.3% | 22.1% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Arabia | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Myles Everett | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 16.0% | 20.5% | 16.0% | 8.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Stephanie Clancy | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 22.3% | 32.5% | 13.9% | 3.6% |
| Anthony Lowther | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 11.1% | 24.9% | 29.7% | 13.5% | 2.8% |
| Christine Reighley | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 12.1% | 43.8% | 32.7% |
| Emily Chase | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 26.7% | 60.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.