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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+1.94vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.82+2.77vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.38+2.73vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.19+2.08vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.49-1.65vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.16+0.11vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.97-3.63vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.51-4.69vs Predicted
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11McGill University0.56-1.73vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.01-3.50vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-1.26-3.16vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.56-4.91vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-0.96-5.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.3%1st Place
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4.77Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.73Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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3.35Tufts University3.490.2%1st Place
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6.11Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.37Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.31Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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9.27McGill University0.560.0%1st Place
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8.5Salve Regina University1.010.0%1st Place
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11.84Bentley University-1.260.0%1st Place
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11.09University of New Hampshire-0.560.0%1st Place
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11.63University of Connecticut-0.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 26.9% | 22.8% | 17.3% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 10.9% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 5.5% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 11.4% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| John Rolander | 21.9% | 19.9% | 16.5% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 6.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 13.0% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed Lorimer | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leslie Beedell | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 13.8% | 28.6% | 21.1% | 9.8% | 1.5% |
| Angelina Todaro | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 24.5% | 22.5% | 12.1% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Snodgrass | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 3.3% | 7.6% | 16.0% | 28.1% | 42.3% |
| Carl Noble | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 12.1% | 26.7% | 29.6% | 18.9% |
| Justin Morano | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 8.0% | 19.3% | 28.5% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.