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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+1.93vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.51+3.40vs Predicted
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3McGill University0.56+6.42vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.82+0.75vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.49-1.64vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.97-1.62vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.16-0.96vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.19-1.98vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.38-3.26vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.01-2.48vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.56-2.04vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.96-2.41vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-1.26-4.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.3%1st Place
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5.4Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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9.42McGill University0.560.0%1st Place
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4.75Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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3.36Tufts University3.490.2%1st Place
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4.38Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.04Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.02University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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5.74Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.52Salve Regina University1.010.0%1st Place
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10.96University of New Hampshire-0.560.0%1st Place
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11.59University of Connecticut-0.960.0%1st Place
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11.9Bentley University-1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 27.4% | 22.6% | 16.9% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed Lorimer | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leslie Beedell | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 16.9% | 27.3% | 22.2% | 9.3% | 1.8% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 10.9% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Rolander | 20.9% | 21.2% | 16.7% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 12.0% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 5.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Angelina Todaro | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 23.6% | 22.2% | 12.2% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Carl Noble | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 16.0% | 26.4% | 28.3% | 15.6% |
| Justin Morano | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 7.7% | 18.6% | 30.6% | 34.4% |
| Andrew Snodgrass | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 15.0% | 26.1% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.