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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.51+4.43vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+0.90vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.49+0.44vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.97+0.47vs Predicted
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5McGill University0.56+4.20vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.16+0.18vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.82-2.29vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.19-1.88vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.01-1.48vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut-0.96+0.51vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.38-7.47vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.56-3.91vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-1.26-5.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.43Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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2.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.3%1st Place
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3.44Tufts University3.490.2%1st Place
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4.47Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.2McGill University0.560.0%1st Place
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6.18Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.71Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.12University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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8.52Salve Regina University1.010.0%1st Place
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11.51University of Connecticut-0.960.0%1st Place
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5.53Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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11.09University of New Hampshire-0.560.0%1st Place
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11.91Bentley University-1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed Lorimer | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ty Ingram | 27.8% | 21.7% | 19.1% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Rolander | 18.8% | 21.0% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 12.0% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leslie Beedell | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 18.6% | 26.9% | 21.9% | 7.4% | 1.5% |
| Peter Christensen | 6.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 11.7% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Angelina Todaro | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 22.2% | 24.6% | 13.7% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Justin Morano | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 19.1% | 32.8% | 30.8% |
| Dylan Farrell | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carl Noble | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 25.1% | 29.2% | 20.0% |
| Andrew Snodgrass | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 14.3% | 26.3% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.