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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+1.93vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.82+2.74vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.51+2.45vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.16+2.20vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.38-0.39vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.19-0.95vs Predicted
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8McGill University0.56+1.20vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.49-5.69vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.97-5.51vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.01-2.44vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.56-1.06vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.96-4.39vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-1.26-5.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.3%1st Place
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4.74Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.45Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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6.2Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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5.61Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.05University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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9.2McGill University0.560.0%1st Place
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3.31Tufts University3.490.2%1st Place
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4.49Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.56Salve Regina University1.010.0%1st Place
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10.94University of New Hampshire-0.560.0%1st Place
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11.61University of Connecticut-0.960.0%1st Place
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11.92Bentley University-1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 27.1% | 22.4% | 18.6% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 9.9% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed Lorimer | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 12.4% | 6.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Farrell | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Leslie Beedell | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 14.6% | 26.6% | 22.5% | 9.0% | 1.2% |
| John Rolander | 21.9% | 18.9% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 12.3% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Angelina Todaro | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 13.2% | 22.7% | 21.7% | 13.0% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Carl Noble | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 7.0% | 13.9% | 28.0% | 28.2% | 15.3% |
| Justin Morano | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 8.0% | 17.5% | 30.8% | 34.8% |
| Andrew Snodgrass | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 6.5% | 13.5% | 26.5% | 47.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.