← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island2.19+5.16vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+0.92vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.97+1.47vs Predicted
-
4McGill University0.56+5.34vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University3.49-2.70vs Predicted
-
7Boston University2.51-1.70vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University2.38-2.37vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University1.01-0.58vs Predicted
-
11Boston College2.82-6.23vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University2.16-5.85vs Predicted
-
13University of Connecticut-0.96-1.52vs Predicted
-
14University of New Hampshire-0.56-2.92vs Predicted
-
16Bentley University-1.26-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.16University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
-
2.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.3%1st Place
-
4.47Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
-
9.34McGill University0.560.0%1st Place
-
3.3Tufts University3.490.2%1st Place
-
5.3Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
-
5.63Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
-
8.42Salve Regina University1.010.0%1st Place
-
4.77Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
-
6.15Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
-
11.48University of Connecticut-0.960.0%1st Place
-
11.08University of New Hampshire-0.560.0%1st Place
-
11.96Bentley University-1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Penwell | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ty Ingram | 26.8% | 23.2% | 18.5% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 11.1% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leslie Beedell | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 27.9% | 20.7% | 9.5% | 2.1% |
| John Rolander | 21.9% | 19.4% | 17.9% | 14.8% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed Lorimer | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Angelina Todaro | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 21.0% | 25.5% | 12.1% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 10.5% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 6.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Justin Morano | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 10.1% | 20.8% | 29.5% | 30.3% |
| Carl Noble | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 25.7% | 30.6% | 19.2% |
| Andrew Snodgrass | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 5.1% | 15.0% | 26.2% | 48.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.