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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.70+1.23vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.47+0.88vs Predicted
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3Clemson University-0.11+0.62vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina-1.80+2.04vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University-0.33-1.04vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.24-2.35vs Predicted
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7University of Tennessee-2.12-0.68vs Predicted
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8University of Tennessee-3.08-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23Jacksonville University0.7038.2%1st Place
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2.88North Carolina State University0.4720.8%1st Place
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3.62Clemson University-0.1113.4%1st Place
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6.04University of South Carolina-1.802.2%1st Place
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3.96Jacksonville University-0.3310.4%1st Place
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3.65University of North Carolina-0.2412.4%1st Place
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6.32University of Tennessee-2.121.9%1st Place
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7.29University of Tennessee-3.080.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiona Froelich | 38.2% | 26.4% | 18.2% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marc Hauenstein | 20.8% | 24.6% | 21.4% | 17.7% | 10.5% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Neil Bunce | 13.4% | 15.0% | 18.4% | 19.2% | 20.5% | 10.3% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Williams | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 27.9% | 32.6% | 14.6% |
| Cheyenne Dooley | 10.4% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 19.8% | 22.9% | 14.0% | 4.7% | 0.6% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 12.4% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 21.3% | 20.2% | 10.2% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Luke Ritchie | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 23.0% | 36.8% | 20.6% |
| Avery Roth | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 9.2% | 19.4% | 63.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.