Race 7B

george-warren-smith

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Patrick Penwell 5.9% 5.2% 7.6% 8.8% 10.9% 11.8% 16.1% 13.5% 12.9% 5.0% 2.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Ty Ingram 27.8% 23.1% 16.9% 14.3% 7.0% 5.9% 2.9% 1.8% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Rolander 20.0% 19.3% 16.1% 16.0% 13.1% 6.6% 5.8% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Reed Lorimer 6.6% 9.3% 9.8% 11.1% 13.0% 12.6% 13.0% 13.0% 8.2% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Dylan Farrell 7.9% 7.2% 9.5% 10.5% 10.8% 11.9% 14.1% 14.1% 9.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Leslie Beedell 0.7% 1.2% 1.7% 2.4% 3.1% 4.3% 3.4% 8.1% 16.5% 27.7% 20.0% 9.3% 1.6%
Kendal Richardson 12.9% 12.5% 15.2% 13.5% 12.5% 12.0% 10.3% 7.4% 2.8% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Schmitz 10.7% 11.7% 12.6% 10.9% 14.0% 15.8% 10.8% 7.7% 4.1% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Angelina Todaro 1.5% 2.6% 2.4% 3.0% 3.8% 5.1% 6.8% 10.4% 22.2% 24.0% 13.0% 4.5% 0.7%
Peter Christensen 5.2% 7.2% 6.8% 8.8% 11.2% 11.7% 13.0% 15.6% 11.1% 7.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Carl Noble 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 1.1% 2.0% 3.7% 5.1% 13.9% 29.0% 27.4% 16.0%
Justin Morano 0.2% 0.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.2% 0.7% 0.9% 1.7% 4.2% 7.3% 17.8% 31.5% 34.4%
Andrew Snodgrass 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 3.0% 5.6% 14.3% 26.6% 47.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.