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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.19+5.16vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.49+1.39vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.38+2.74vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.97+0.44vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.82-0.35vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.16-0.85vs Predicted
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8McGill University0.56+1.23vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.51-3.62vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.56+0.04vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.01-4.49vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.96-3.52vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-1.26-4.06vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-14.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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3.39Tufts University3.490.2%1st Place
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5.74Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.44Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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4.65Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.15Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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9.23McGill University0.560.0%1st Place
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5.38Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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11.04University of New Hampshire-0.560.0%1st Place
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8.51Salve Regina University1.010.0%1st Place
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11.48University of Connecticut-0.960.0%1st Place
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11.94Bentley University-1.260.0%1st Place
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2.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Penwell | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Rolander | 21.7% | 18.5% | 17.7% | 15.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 11.0% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 12.8% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 6.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Leslie Beedell | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 15.0% | 26.7% | 21.9% | 7.8% | 2.4% |
| Reed Lorimer | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carl Noble | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 12.1% | 25.1% | 29.4% | 20.3% |
| Angelina Todaro | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 11.3% | 22.7% | 24.8% | 12.0% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Justin Morano | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 9.4% | 21.6% | 32.5% | 27.8% |
| Andrew Snodgrass | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 13.9% | 25.7% | 48.4% |
| Ty Ingram | 26.8% | 24.3% | 17.4% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.