← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island2.19+5.12vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.38+3.72vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University3.49-0.57vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-3.09vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.82-2.31vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University1.01+0.50vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University2.97-4.64vs Predicted
-
10Boston University2.51-4.65vs Predicted
-
11McGill University0.56-1.73vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University2.16-5.87vs Predicted
-
13University of Connecticut-0.96-1.50vs Predicted
-
14University of New Hampshire-0.56-2.93vs Predicted
-
16Bentley University-1.26-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.12University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
-
5.72Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
-
3.43Tufts University3.490.2%1st Place
-
2.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.3%1st Place
-
4.69Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
-
8.5Salve Regina University1.010.0%1st Place
-
4.36Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
-
5.35Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
-
9.27McGill University0.560.0%1st Place
-
6.13Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
-
11.5University of Connecticut-0.960.0%1st Place
-
11.07University of New Hampshire-0.560.0%1st Place
-
11.95Bentley University-1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Penwell | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 16.6% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Farrell | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 9.8% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Rolander | 19.1% | 22.2% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ty Ingram | 27.9% | 21.2% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 12.1% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Angelina Todaro | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 22.4% | 24.0% | 11.7% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Kendal Richardson | 13.9% | 11.1% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed Lorimer | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 7.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leslie Beedell | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 14.8% | 29.5% | 21.3% | 8.6% | 1.9% |
| Peter Christensen | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Justin Morano | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 9.1% | 21.9% | 29.9% | 30.2% |
| Carl Noble | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 11.4% | 25.9% | 29.9% | 19.2% |
| Andrew Snodgrass | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 13.5% | 26.4% | 48.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.