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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.49+2.42vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+0.92vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.51+2.43vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.38+1.72vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.82-0.34vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.190.00vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.16-0.90vs Predicted
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10McGill University0.56-0.74vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.97-6.56vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.01-3.47vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-0.96-1.50vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-0.56-2.90vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-1.26-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42Tufts University3.490.2%1st Place
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2.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.3%1st Place
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5.43Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.72Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.66Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.0University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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6.1Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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9.26McGill University0.560.0%1st Place
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4.44Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.53Salve Regina University1.010.0%1st Place
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11.5University of Connecticut-0.960.0%1st Place
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11.1University of New Hampshire-0.560.0%1st Place
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11.92Bentley University-1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Rolander | 20.4% | 18.4% | 18.2% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ty Ingram | 27.0% | 23.1% | 17.4% | 14.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed Lorimer | 7.2% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 11.0% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 6.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Leslie Beedell | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 8.1% | 15.8% | 28.6% | 21.3% | 8.3% | 1.6% |
| Kendal Richardson | 12.0% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Angelina Todaro | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 22.1% | 24.3% | 11.4% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Justin Morano | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 3.9% | 9.4% | 22.8% | 29.6% | 30.0% |
| Carl Noble | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 12.0% | 25.8% | 30.0% | 19.5% |
| Andrew Snodgrass | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 13.4% | 27.1% | 47.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.