Race 13B

george-warren-smith

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ryan Schmitz 9.4% 10.5% 13.5% 11.4% 12.8% 12.6% 11.2% 8.7% 5.7% 2.8% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0%
John Rolander 20.3% 17.5% 18.6% 14.7% 9.7% 9.2% 5.2% 2.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Kendal Richardson 10.4% 13.1% 13.4% 13.0% 14.3% 12.3% 9.3% 7.4% 4.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Rottier 3.9% 5.3% 5.3% 6.5% 7.8% 10.1% 11.3% 12.9% 15.5% 13.9% 5.9% 1.5% 0.1%
Ty Ingram 27.8% 23.2% 15.1% 13.5% 8.8% 5.6% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dylan Farrell 7.4% 7.6% 7.2% 10.3% 11.2% 11.7% 11.7% 12.8% 8.9% 8.0% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Peter Girard 5.4% 3.8% 5.7% 6.5% 6.9% 6.7% 9.7% 15.4% 15.6% 14.2% 7.5% 2.4% 0.2%
Andrew Snodgrass 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 1.0% 1.9% 3.4% 6.6% 22.1% 62.7%
Peter Christensen 5.6% 6.3% 6.2% 7.7% 8.5% 11.3% 12.7% 12.9% 13.3% 9.8% 4.7% 0.9% 0.1%
Angelina Todaro 1.5% 2.2% 2.6% 3.3% 4.0% 3.6% 6.1% 8.1% 12.7% 19.7% 23.7% 10.2% 2.3%
Reed Lorimer 7.3% 9.0% 10.5% 10.5% 12.1% 12.4% 12.8% 9.1% 9.2% 5.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Leslie Beedell 0.6% 1.0% 1.4% 1.6% 2.8% 3.2% 4.3% 5.7% 8.1% 15.4% 29.9% 19.9% 6.1%
Carl Noble 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 1.0% 1.4% 1.7% 2.8% 5.2% 15.2% 42.2% 28.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.