Race 14B

george-warren-smith

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ryan Schmitz 9.7% 10.7% 13.2% 13.2% 11.3% 13.0% 10.3% 9.3% 5.9% 2.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Ty Ingram 27.1% 23.4% 17.2% 11.7% 9.5% 4.8% 3.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Rolander 19.5% 19.5% 15.8% 15.1% 12.1% 8.4% 5.0% 2.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Rottier 4.0% 4.6% 6.4% 6.0% 7.6% 10.3% 11.2% 13.9% 15.0% 12.1% 7.0% 1.9% 0.0%
Kendal Richardson 12.7% 13.5% 13.1% 12.4% 13.7% 10.8% 9.3% 6.5% 5.5% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Girard 3.8% 4.7% 5.9% 5.3% 6.8% 8.9% 10.3% 14.3% 15.1% 14.8% 8.0% 1.9% 0.2%
Andrew Snodgrass 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 1.0% 1.4% 1.4% 3.7% 7.4% 21.9% 61.2%
Dylan Farrell 7.2% 7.4% 7.6% 9.3% 12.0% 11.4% 12.5% 11.9% 12.0% 6.2% 2.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Reed Lorimer 8.1% 7.3% 8.6% 11.7% 10.1% 13.5% 11.2% 10.7% 9.3% 6.2% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Angelina Todaro 1.6% 2.0% 3.0% 2.4% 3.8% 4.0% 7.4% 7.3% 11.3% 20.9% 22.9% 11.2% 2.2%
Peter Christensen 5.0% 5.5% 7.3% 10.5% 10.1% 10.5% 12.5% 14.0% 10.6% 8.7% 4.1% 1.1% 0.1%
Carl Noble 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 1.1% 1.5% 1.3% 3.4% 5.4% 15.3% 39.2% 30.8%
Leslie Beedell 1.0% 0.9% 1.3% 1.4% 2.0% 2.7% 4.0% 5.3% 8.4% 16.7% 29.1% 21.8% 5.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.