Race 15B

george-warren-smith

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Dylan Farrell 6.2% 7.4% 9.7% 9.5% 10.5% 12.4% 10.6% 12.6% 9.8% 7.2% 3.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Andrew Snodgrass 0.2% 0.0% 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 1.1% 1.5% 2.8% 6.0% 21.6% 64.4%
Ty Ingram 28.0% 19.8% 16.5% 16.9% 8.5% 4.2% 4.0% 1.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kendal Richardson 11.0% 13.7% 12.7% 13.8% 13.1% 11.5% 10.4% 6.4% 4.7% 1.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Peter Girard 4.9% 4.4% 5.1% 5.9% 8.1% 9.5% 9.7% 11.9% 16.7% 12.8% 8.3% 2.5% 0.2%
Michael Rottier 4.1% 5.7% 6.1% 6.5% 8.0% 10.7% 11.1% 13.3% 14.0% 11.7% 6.4% 2.1% 0.3%
Ryan Schmitz 11.5% 10.5% 11.7% 12.4% 13.6% 11.9% 9.9% 9.5% 4.8% 3.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Peter Christensen 4.4% 7.3% 6.1% 8.5% 9.6% 10.1% 12.8% 13.2% 14.3% 8.5% 4.4% 0.8% 0.0%
Angelina Todaro 1.7% 2.6% 2.2% 2.9% 4.0% 3.7% 5.8% 8.1% 11.9% 22.3% 22.2% 10.6% 2.0%
John Rolander 20.2% 19.6% 17.6% 12.1% 9.5% 8.6% 7.6% 2.4% 1.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Carl Noble 0.4% 0.1% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.9% 1.7% 2.3% 2.9% 7.1% 15.4% 41.0% 27.0%
Leslie Beedell 0.9% 0.8% 1.3% 2.0% 2.7% 2.8% 3.1% 5.7% 7.8% 16.2% 30.6% 20.1% 6.0%
Reed Lorimer 6.5% 8.1% 10.2% 8.7% 11.9% 13.1% 12.4% 12.4% 9.4% 5.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.