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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.36+6.13vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University3.92+7.04vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.62+7.30vs Predicted
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4Boston University4.07+3.99vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+4.24vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College4.06+2.15vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.66+2.88vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+1.20vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.50+1.61vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.66+0.12vs Predicted
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11Brown University4.30-3.69vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.07+0.70vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.90-0.15vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.64-4.31vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.77-5.63vs Predicted
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16Yale University4.19-8.33vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.62-6.78vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.70-8.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.13Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.04Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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10.3University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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7.99Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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9.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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8.15Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
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9.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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10.61Boston College3.500.0%1st Place
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10.12Connecticut College3.660.1%1st Place
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7.31Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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12.7Roger Williams University3.070.0%1st Place
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12.85Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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9.69College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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9.37Georgetown University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.67Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.22University of Rhode Island3.620.1%1st Place
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9.52Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Kopp | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Coleman Bowen | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% |
| Ben Greenfield | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Megan Magill | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% |
| Sam Williams | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Jason Carminati | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% |
| Philip Crain | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
| Emily Maxwell | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% |
| Michael Marshall | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.3% |
| Tommy Fink | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| George Saunders | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 21.9% |
| Emilie Mademann | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 22.1% |
| Mac Mace | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% |
| Michael Campbell | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Matthew Carmody | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.