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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.47+1.83vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University-0.33+1.94vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.70-0.72vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina-1.80+2.10vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.11-1.40vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.24-2.31vs Predicted
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7University of Tennessee-2.12-0.70vs Predicted
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8University of Tennessee-3.08-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83North Carolina State University0.4724.0%1st Place
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3.94Jacksonville University-0.3310.4%1st Place
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2.28Jacksonville University0.7034.2%1st Place
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6.1University of South Carolina-1.802.4%1st Place
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3.6Clemson University-0.1113.1%1st Place
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3.69University of North Carolina-0.2413.2%1st Place
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6.3University of Tennessee-2.121.9%1st Place
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7.26University of Tennessee-3.080.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Hauenstein | 24.0% | 22.3% | 20.9% | 17.9% | 10.1% | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cheyenne Dooley | 10.4% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 19.9% | 23.6% | 12.9% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Fiona Froelich | 34.2% | 29.4% | 18.4% | 11.8% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Williams | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 26.5% | 33.6% | 16.4% |
| Neil Bunce | 13.1% | 15.4% | 18.9% | 19.8% | 20.4% | 9.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 13.2% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 20.1% | 20.0% | 11.3% | 3.6% | 0.2% |
| Luke Ritchie | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 8.6% | 24.9% | 34.4% | 20.5% |
| Avery Roth | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 9.7% | 20.3% | 61.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.