Race 17B

george-warren-smith

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ryan Schmitz 9.7% 11.8% 12.2% 10.8% 14.4% 10.5% 12.1% 8.3% 6.0% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
John Rolander 20.0% 19.2% 16.6% 15.0% 10.5% 7.6% 6.1% 2.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ty Ingram 27.9% 21.9% 16.5% 13.7% 8.6% 5.9% 3.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Christensen 4.6% 5.7% 7.4% 7.5% 9.8% 10.9% 13.1% 12.1% 11.5% 11.5% 4.6% 1.3% 0.0%
Andrew Snodgrass 0.2% 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.8% 0.5% 0.9% 2.4% 2.5% 6.5% 21.0% 63.5%
Dylan Farrell 7.0% 6.1% 9.4% 10.5% 10.5% 12.5% 12.1% 12.6% 8.6% 7.6% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Kendal Richardson 12.6% 13.9% 13.7% 11.7% 12.5% 11.6% 9.0% 7.5% 4.5% 1.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Michael Rottier 4.1% 5.5% 5.8% 7.1% 7.8% 9.2% 11.1% 15.6% 14.5% 12.0% 6.3% 1.0% 0.0%
Reed Lorimer 7.4% 8.7% 8.5% 11.1% 11.1% 13.2% 11.4% 9.7% 11.1% 5.3% 2.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Peter Girard 3.9% 4.4% 5.8% 5.4% 7.9% 9.8% 9.9% 11.9% 15.7% 14.0% 8.2% 2.9% 0.2%
Angelina Todaro 1.3% 1.4% 2.3% 3.2% 4.3% 4.4% 6.1% 9.4% 12.9% 21.4% 20.7% 10.4% 2.2%
Leslie Beedell 0.8% 0.8% 1.0% 2.9% 1.9% 2.5% 4.3% 5.7% 8.2% 13.5% 32.3% 21.5% 4.6%
Carl Noble 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.6% 0.4% 1.1% 1.1% 2.2% 2.4% 6.4% 14.4% 41.1% 29.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.