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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Caleb Armstrong 9.2% 7.3% 8.8% 7.5% 7.8% 9.4% 7.7% 7.4% 7.0% 7.7% 6.4% 5.3% 3.8% 3.1% 1.6%
Megan Yeigh 7.0% 9.3% 8.6% 7.5% 8.5% 8.4% 7.7% 6.0% 8.5% 8.6% 6.1% 5.6% 4.3% 2.6% 1.3%
Joseph Kiss 16.2% 14.0% 11.5% 13.1% 10.8% 8.5% 7.6% 5.6% 4.9% 3.3% 2.3% 1.3% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
John Silvestri 3.5% 4.9% 4.6% 5.9% 5.5% 5.8% 6.6% 7.0% 6.7% 7.4% 8.8% 8.6% 10.6% 8.6% 5.5%
Jack McGuire 9.6% 9.2% 7.4% 8.4% 8.1% 8.5% 9.1% 7.9% 8.5% 6.4% 5.2% 4.9% 4.0% 2.7% 0.1%
Devon Rohde 3.3% 4.3% 4.7% 5.1% 4.8% 3.7% 5.7% 7.1% 8.0% 8.8% 9.4% 9.0% 10.1% 10.9% 5.1%
Sean McLaughlin 3.3% 3.2% 2.2% 3.7% 4.0% 2.6% 4.8% 4.4% 3.5% 6.1% 10.2% 11.6% 12.8% 11.9% 15.7%
Sarah Williams 9.9% 9.7% 8.9% 7.1% 8.2% 10.3% 8.8% 8.0% 5.2% 7.1% 5.9% 5.9% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7%
Domenic Bove 4.7% 5.4% 5.5% 6.9% 7.2% 8.1% 6.5% 8.4% 8.9% 5.5% 8.1% 9.0% 7.8% 6.2% 1.8%
Brendan Cook 7.9% 6.7% 8.8% 10.5% 7.9% 8.9% 7.5% 9.9% 6.8% 6.5% 5.9% 5.1% 4.8% 2.2% 0.6%
Scott Barbano 11.9% 13.0% 11.9% 8.0% 9.1% 8.0% 8.5% 6.3% 5.8% 5.9% 5.0% 3.4% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0%
Jackson Hamilton 4.2% 3.3% 5.4% 5.8% 7.3% 5.7% 6.0% 7.7% 7.8% 7.8% 8.0% 10.3% 9.6% 7.8% 3.3%
Michael Gemperline 6.4% 6.5% 6.7% 7.3% 6.4% 6.7% 7.5% 9.6% 8.8% 8.0% 7.6% 7.4% 6.5% 2.7% 1.9%
William Dykes 1.2% 1.5% 1.4% 1.9% 2.1% 1.9% 3.3% 2.5% 4.1% 5.2% 4.7% 6.0% 9.5% 20.6% 34.1%
Renee Torrie 1.7% 1.7% 3.6% 1.3% 2.3% 3.5% 2.7% 2.2% 5.5% 5.7% 6.4% 6.6% 11.0% 17.5% 28.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.