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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.72+3.72vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.47+3.33vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.13+3.58vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.99+3.03vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.18+1.53vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.94+1.26vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.69+1.06vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.05-1.09vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97+1.48vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.45-1.00vs Predicted
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11McGill University1.56+0.67vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-2.58vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.60-4.31vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.21-7.75vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.35-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72Yale University3.720.2%1st Place
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5.33Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.58Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.03University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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6.53Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.26Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.06Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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6.91University of Rhode Island3.050.1%1st Place
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10.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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9.0Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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11.67McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
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9.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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8.69Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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6.25Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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12.09University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 16.1% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Scott Barbano | 12.5% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Cook | 9.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Michael Gemperline | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Domenic Bove | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 12.4% |
| John Silvestri | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 5.3% |
| Renee Torrie | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 16.6% | 28.5% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 6.4% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 4.6% |
| Sarah Williams | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| William Dykes | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 17.4% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.