Race 4A

hewitt

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Domenic Bove 6.5% 6.0% 6.2% 6.3% 6.1% 6.3% 8.3% 7.2% 6.9% 6.1% 8.6% 8.2% 7.4% 7.5% 2.4%
Joseph Kiss 17.5% 14.5% 12.9% 11.9% 10.7% 7.5% 6.7% 5.1% 5.1% 3.4% 2.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Brendan Cook 7.9% 8.4% 9.2% 9.7% 8.7% 6.9% 9.2% 7.0% 7.6% 7.9% 7.1% 4.5% 2.6% 2.9% 0.4%
William Dykes 1.1% 1.8% 1.3% 1.9% 2.1% 1.9% 2.6% 3.0% 4.1% 4.2% 6.0% 6.8% 11.6% 16.8% 34.8%
John Silvestri 4.8% 4.0% 4.2% 4.8% 5.7% 6.1% 6.1% 6.2% 7.2% 7.4% 9.6% 9.8% 9.7% 8.8% 5.6%
Jack McGuire 8.0% 8.9% 8.7% 8.5% 8.0% 9.7% 9.2% 8.5% 8.6% 6.2% 6.1% 4.6% 2.8% 1.7% 0.5%
Renee Torrie 2.4% 2.0% 2.1% 2.5% 2.7% 2.3% 3.8% 2.8% 3.3% 4.2% 5.6% 8.3% 12.1% 19.8% 26.1%
Devon Rohde 4.0% 4.2% 3.6% 4.6% 5.5% 5.8% 6.2% 5.1% 7.2% 8.8% 8.7% 8.6% 11.6% 9.4% 6.7%
Sean McLaughlin 1.8% 3.1% 2.9% 2.6% 3.4% 5.1% 3.2% 6.7% 5.3% 6.5% 8.8% 9.9% 13.3% 13.8% 13.6%
Scott Barbano 11.5% 11.3% 11.4% 10.3% 9.4% 8.5% 8.5% 8.5% 6.3% 5.2% 3.4% 2.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
Caleb Armstrong 7.6% 9.1% 9.1% 6.6% 7.0% 8.7% 6.7% 8.3% 7.1% 6.9% 6.9% 5.7% 5.9% 3.4% 1.0%
Michael Gemperline 5.5% 6.8% 6.6% 7.7% 7.3% 9.1% 7.7% 6.5% 7.2% 9.4% 6.9% 8.3% 4.8% 4.5% 1.7%
Megan Yeigh 7.4% 5.9% 8.0% 6.1% 7.7% 6.9% 8.8% 9.9% 7.4% 8.8% 6.6% 7.0% 4.6% 3.1% 1.8%
Jackson Hamilton 4.6% 4.7% 4.9% 7.0% 6.4% 7.5% 5.8% 7.1% 7.6% 8.6% 8.9% 8.7% 8.0% 6.2% 4.0%
Sarah Williams 9.4% 9.3% 8.9% 9.5% 9.3% 7.7% 7.2% 8.1% 9.1% 6.4% 4.7% 5.2% 3.0% 1.0% 1.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.