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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.18+5.38vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.47+3.33vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.69+5.04vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.05+2.90vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.13+1.72vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97+4.56vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.21-0.67vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+1.15vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.99-2.01vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire1.35+2.25vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.94-3.69vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.72-7.03vs Predicted
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13McGill University1.56-1.21vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.60-5.63vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.45-6.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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5.33Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.04Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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6.9University of Rhode Island3.050.1%1st Place
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6.72Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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10.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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6.33Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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6.99University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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12.25University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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7.31Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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4.97Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.79McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
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8.37Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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8.9Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack McGuire | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Scott Barbano | 12.6% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Bove | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Brendan Cook | 7.9% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 12.7% |
| Sarah Williams | 10.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 5.6% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| William Dykes | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 18.9% | 36.2% |
| Michael Gemperline | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Joseph Kiss | 14.8% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Renee Torrie | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 19.1% | 28.7% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
| John Silvestri | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.