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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.18+5.32vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.72+2.62vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.99+3.98vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.13+2.57vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.47+0.58vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.69+2.16vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+2.17vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.05-1.10vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.60-0.61vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.94-2.65vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.21-4.61vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.45-2.78vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.35-0.68vs Predicted
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14McGill University1.56-2.40vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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4.62Yale University3.720.2%1st Place
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6.98University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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6.57Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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5.58Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.16Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
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9.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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6.9University of Rhode Island3.050.1%1st Place
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8.39Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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7.35Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.39Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.22Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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12.32University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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11.6McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
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10.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack McGuire | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 16.3% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Brendan Cook | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Scott Barbano | 12.8% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Domenic Bove | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 8.9% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 2.8% |
| Michael Gemperline | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Sarah Williams | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| John Silvestri | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.0% |
| William Dykes | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 18.2% | 36.8% |
| Renee Torrie | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 18.6% | 25.1% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.