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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.72+3.68vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.21+4.17vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.47+2.46vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.69+4.03vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+4.16vs Predicted
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6McGill University1.56+5.71vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.05-0.19vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.94-0.67vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire1.35+3.25vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.45-1.04vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-0.48vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.99-4.72vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.13-6.12vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.18-7.61vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.60-6.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68Yale University3.720.2%1st Place
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6.17Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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5.46Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.03Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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11.71McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
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6.81University of Rhode Island3.050.1%1st Place
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7.33Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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12.25University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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8.96Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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10.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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7.28University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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6.88Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.39Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.38Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 16.0% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Scott Barbano | 12.1% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Domenic Bove | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 6.7% |
| Renee Torrie | 1.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 19.9% | 26.1% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Michael Gemperline | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% |
| William Dykes | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 18.5% | 34.0% |
| John Silvestri | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 16.9% | 14.7% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Brendan Cook | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.