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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.72+3.70vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.99+4.92vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97+7.35vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+5.16vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.94+2.30vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.21+0.34vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.47-1.51vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.18-1.54vs Predicted
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9McGill University1.56+2.71vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.60-1.48vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.13-4.38vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.05-4.86vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.35-0.68vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.45-5.13vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.69-6.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.7Yale University3.720.2%1st Place
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6.92University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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10.35Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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7.3Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.34Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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5.49Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.46Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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11.71McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
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8.52Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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6.62Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.14University of Rhode Island3.050.1%1st Place
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12.32University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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8.87Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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8.12Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 16.2% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 16.3% | 11.9% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 6.2% |
| Michael Gemperline | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Sarah Williams | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Scott Barbano | 12.2% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Jack McGuire | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Renee Torrie | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 12.7% | 19.1% | 25.4% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 3.9% |
| Brendan Cook | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| William Dykes | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 17.0% | 38.9% |
| John Silvestri | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% |
| Domenic Bove | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.