← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.72+3.73vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College3.18+4.28vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.47+2.43vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island3.05+2.84vs Predicted
-
5Boston College2.69+3.20vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College3.21+0.32vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University2.45+1.90vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont2.99-0.89vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+0.13vs Predicted
-
10Boston University3.13-3.28vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University2.60-2.53vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-1.26vs Predicted
-
13McGill University1.56-1.20vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University2.94-6.78vs Predicted
-
15University of New Hampshire1.35-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.73Yale University3.720.2%1st Place
-
6.28Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
-
5.43Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
-
6.84University of Rhode Island3.050.1%1st Place
-
8.2Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
-
6.32Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
-
8.9Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
-
7.11University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
-
9.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
-
6.72Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
-
8.47Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
-
10.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
-
11.8McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
-
7.22Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
-
12.1University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 15.6% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Jack McGuire | 7.6% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Scott Barbano | 12.8% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Domenic Bove | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Sarah Williams | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| John Silvestri | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 4.6% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 4.5% |
| Brendan Cook | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 14.8% |
| Renee Torrie | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 20.4% | 27.3% |
| Michael Gemperline | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| William Dykes | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 16.5% | 35.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.