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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina-1.80+5.12vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina-0.24+1.65vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-0.33+0.89vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.70-1.70vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.47-2.20vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-0.11-2.34vs Predicted
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7University of Tennessee-2.12-0.71vs Predicted
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8University of Tennessee-3.08-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12University of South Carolina-1.801.7%1st Place
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3.65University of North Carolina-0.2413.7%1st Place
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3.89Jacksonville University-0.3310.8%1st Place
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2.3Jacksonville University0.7036.4%1st Place
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2.8North Carolina State University0.4722.8%1st Place
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3.66Clemson University-0.1112.3%1st Place
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6.29University of Tennessee-2.121.8%1st Place
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7.3University of Tennessee-3.080.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tyler Williams | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 11.1% | 26.9% | 32.9% | 15.8% |
Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 13.7% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 19.4% | 19.4% | 11.4% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
Cheyenne Dooley | 10.8% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 20.7% | 23.1% | 12.3% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
Fiona Froelich | 36.4% | 26.6% | 18.4% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Marc Hauenstein | 22.8% | 24.8% | 21.3% | 17.2% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Neil Bunce | 12.3% | 14.4% | 18.6% | 21.2% | 20.3% | 9.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
Luke Ritchie | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 24.9% | 35.5% | 19.9% |
Avery Roth | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 9.3% | 19.9% | 63.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.