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📊 Prediction Accuracy

62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Tyler Williams 1.7% 2.9% 3.6% 5.2% 11.1% 26.9% 32.9% 15.8%
Francis "Mac" Humphrey 13.7% 14.6% 17.8% 19.4% 19.4% 11.4% 3.5% 0.2%
Cheyenne Dooley 10.8% 12.8% 15.5% 20.7% 23.1% 12.3% 4.2% 0.4%
Fiona Froelich 36.4% 26.6% 18.4% 10.6% 6.0% 1.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Marc Hauenstein 22.8% 24.8% 21.3% 17.2% 9.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.1%
Neil Bunce 12.3% 14.4% 18.6% 21.2% 20.3% 9.9% 2.8% 0.4%
Luke Ritchie 1.8% 2.7% 3.8% 4.0% 7.4% 24.9% 35.5% 19.9%
Avery Roth 0.4% 1.1% 1.0% 1.7% 3.5% 9.3% 19.9% 63.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.