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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.05+5.83vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.69+5.93vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.72+1.68vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.18+2.43vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+4.22vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.47-0.53vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.13-0.42vs Predicted
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8McGill University1.56+3.64vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.99-2.02vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.45-0.95vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.21-4.63vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire1.35+0.43vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.60-4.30vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-3.54vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.94-7.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.83University of Rhode Island3.050.1%1st Place
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7.93Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
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4.68Yale University3.720.2%1st Place
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6.43Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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5.47Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.58Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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11.64McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
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6.98University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.05Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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6.37Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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12.43University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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8.7Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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10.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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7.25Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Armstrong | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Domenic Bove | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 2.2% |
| Joseph Kiss | 15.6% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 6.8% |
| Scott Barbano | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Cook | 9.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Renee Torrie | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 12.4% | 18.7% | 26.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| John Silvestri | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 4.7% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.4% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| William Dykes | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 18.2% | 37.1% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 3.8% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 12.4% |
| Michael Gemperline | 6.6% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.