Race 11A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Joseph Kiss 15.4% 16.2% 11.7% 12.4% 9.0% 7.5% 7.8% 6.5% 4.3% 3.3% 2.1% 1.9% 1.1% 0.8% 0.0%
Scott Barbano 12.9% 12.6% 10.3% 9.4% 11.2% 9.9% 6.8% 6.9% 5.7% 5.2% 4.3% 2.5% 1.3% 0.9% 0.1%
Renee Torrie 2.0% 1.6% 2.3% 2.2% 2.2% 3.9% 3.5% 2.2% 4.8% 4.8% 6.6% 7.8% 10.5% 19.3% 26.3%
Devon Rohde 3.4% 4.0% 4.7% 4.5% 5.7% 5.8% 6.2% 5.9% 7.2% 7.5% 8.1% 9.6% 11.2% 9.7% 6.5%
Brendan Cook 8.6% 9.4% 7.1% 8.4% 7.7% 8.4% 8.2% 8.4% 9.7% 7.5% 4.8% 5.2% 3.4% 2.7% 0.5%
Michael Gemperline 6.3% 7.0% 6.6% 7.1% 8.1% 7.2% 9.3% 8.5% 9.2% 8.8% 7.0% 5.7% 5.3% 2.9% 1.0%
Sarah Williams 10.8% 7.6% 9.1% 8.1% 11.2% 8.2% 8.8% 7.8% 7.1% 5.0% 4.6% 5.3% 4.2% 1.8% 0.4%
Jack McGuire 9.4% 7.6% 10.3% 8.6% 7.4% 9.1% 8.6% 7.4% 8.0% 7.0% 5.3% 5.7% 3.0% 2.1% 0.5%
Megan Yeigh 6.8% 6.7% 7.8% 9.6% 7.5% 7.8% 8.8% 9.1% 7.7% 7.3% 8.2% 6.5% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6%
Domenic Bove 4.6% 4.6% 7.2% 5.6% 6.6% 7.1% 5.8% 9.2% 6.7% 9.6% 8.3% 8.8% 6.9% 6.2% 2.8%
Caleb Armstrong 7.3% 8.4% 8.4% 8.9% 7.9% 6.9% 7.8% 8.0% 6.9% 7.3% 7.2% 4.7% 5.7% 3.2% 1.4%
William Dykes 1.4% 1.2% 0.8% 1.3% 2.1% 1.4% 2.2% 2.0% 2.9% 4.9% 6.2% 6.6% 11.7% 18.1% 37.2%
John Silvestri 4.0% 4.5% 4.8% 4.2% 4.7% 5.9% 6.0% 5.6% 6.4% 7.9% 10.1% 10.6% 10.7% 9.9% 4.7%
Jackson Hamilton 4.6% 4.7% 5.6% 7.5% 5.1% 7.2% 5.0% 7.4% 9.0% 6.6% 10.5% 8.7% 7.7% 6.8% 3.6%
Sean McLaughlin 2.5% 3.9% 3.3% 2.2% 3.6% 3.7% 5.2% 5.1% 4.4% 7.3% 6.7% 10.4% 13.4% 13.9% 14.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.