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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.72+3.68vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.18+4.27vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.13+3.49vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.47+1.44vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.94+2.34vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+3.23vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.05-0.17vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97+2.52vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.60-0.61vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.69-1.78vs Predicted
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11McGill University1.56+0.68vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.21-5.43vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.45-3.82vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.35-1.83vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.99-8.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68Yale University3.720.2%1st Place
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6.27Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.49Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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5.44Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.34Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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6.83University of Rhode Island3.050.1%1st Place
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10.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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8.39Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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8.22Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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11.68McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
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6.57Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.18Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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12.17University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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7.0University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 16.4% | 16.4% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 8.2% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Brendan Cook | 8.6% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Scott Barbano | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Michael Gemperline | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 4.7% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 9.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 14.2% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
| Domenic Bove | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| Renee Torrie | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 18.4% | 27.8% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| John Silvestri | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 5.8% |
| William Dykes | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 18.4% | 35.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.