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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.18+5.42vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.21+4.16vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97+7.45vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.72+0.72vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.99+2.16vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+3.25vs Predicted
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7McGill University1.56+4.53vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.60+0.44vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.13-2.49vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.47-4.39vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.94-3.70vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.45-2.81vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.35-0.67vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.05-7.13vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.69-6.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.42Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.16Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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4.72Yale University3.720.2%1st Place
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7.16University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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11.53McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
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8.44Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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6.51Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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5.61Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.3Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.19Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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12.33University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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6.87University of Rhode Island3.050.1%1st Place
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8.06Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack McGuire | 9.6% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.6% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 12.8% |
| Joseph Kiss | 15.2% | 16.3% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 6.1% |
| Renee Torrie | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 20.5% | 24.1% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Scott Barbano | 10.6% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Michael Gemperline | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| John Silvestri | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% |
| William Dykes | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 18.1% | 38.8% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Domenic Bove | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.