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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.18+5.38vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+7.02vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.72+1.65vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.35+8.14vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.99+2.18vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.94+1.25vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.69+1.09vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.47-2.48vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.60-0.63vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.21-3.58vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.05-4.06vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.13-5.11vs Predicted
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13McGill University1.56-1.21vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.45-5.08vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-4.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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4.65Yale University3.720.2%1st Place
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12.14University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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7.18University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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7.25Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.09Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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5.52Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.37Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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6.42Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.94University of Rhode Island3.050.1%1st Place
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6.89Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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11.79McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
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8.92Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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10.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack McGuire | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 5.4% |
| Joseph Kiss | 16.3% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Dykes | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 17.3% | 34.7% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Michael Gemperline | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Domenic Bove | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Scott Barbano | 13.4% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Brendan Cook | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Renee Torrie | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 19.6% | 28.0% |
| John Silvestri | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 5.6% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.