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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.05+5.78vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.72+2.63vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.69+5.04vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97+6.52vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.45+3.99vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+3.22vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.13-0.46vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.21-1.69vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.18-2.64vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.94-2.69vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.60-2.53vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.99-4.67vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.47-7.27vs Predicted
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14McGill University1.56-2.34vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.35-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.78University of Rhode Island3.050.1%1st Place
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4.63Yale University3.720.2%1st Place
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8.04Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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10.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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8.99Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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9.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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6.54Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.31Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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6.36Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.31Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.47Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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7.33University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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5.73Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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11.66McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
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12.12University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Armstrong | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% |
| Joseph Kiss | 16.6% | 16.4% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Domenic Bove | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 14.6% |
| John Silvestri | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 5.3% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 5.5% |
| Brendan Cook | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Williams | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Jack McGuire | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Michael Gemperline | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 4.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Scott Barbano | 11.4% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Renee Torrie | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 19.7% | 26.7% |
| William Dykes | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 17.9% | 35.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.