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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+3.09vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.94+4.56vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.77+1.21vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+4.63vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.25+0.88vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.06+0.36vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.54+0.95vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.08+1.46vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.27-3.35vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.39-1.46vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.85-3.94vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.28-2.98vs Predicted
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13McGill University0.82-0.22vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.78-1.26vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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6.56Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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4.21Roger Williams University3.770.2%1st Place
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8.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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5.88Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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6.36Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.95Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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9.46Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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5.65University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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8.54Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.06Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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9.02Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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12.78McGill University0.820.0%1st Place
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12.74University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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11.08Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 19.4% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 18.2% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 2.2% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 9.2% | 3.4% |
| Michael Booker | 8.2% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Wehner | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Henry Dumke | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 1.7% |
| Jacob Webster | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 12.5% | 22.1% | 37.4% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 22.4% | 36.6% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 15.8% | 17.9% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.