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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.54+6.80vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.27+3.58vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.06+3.28vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.25+1.75vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.77-0.62vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.84-1.93vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.39+1.39vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.78+4.73vs Predicted
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9McGill University0.82+3.77vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.94-3.24vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+0.19vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.85-4.76vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.08-3.38vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-5.32vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.28-6.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.8Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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5.58University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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6.28Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.75Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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4.38Roger Williams University3.770.2%1st Place
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4.07University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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8.39Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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12.73University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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12.77McGill University0.820.0%1st Place
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6.76Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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11.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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7.24Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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9.62Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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8.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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8.76Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Michael Booker | 9.6% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 17.8% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 17.5% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Wehner | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 22.9% | 36.6% |
| Jacob Webster | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 22.2% | 36.1% |
| Michael Saldi | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 16.5% | 18.5% | 14.4% |
| Henry Dumke | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 4.9% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 1.4% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.