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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.94+5.59vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+2.01vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.27+2.65vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.77+0.33vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.28+3.84vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.85+0.99vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.25-1.33vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+3.15vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-0.32vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.39-1.49vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.54-3.01vs Predicted
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12McGill University0.82+0.89vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.06-6.42vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.78-1.25vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.08-5.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.59Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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4.01University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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5.65University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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4.33Roger Williams University3.770.2%1st Place
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8.84Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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6.99Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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5.67Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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11.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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8.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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8.51Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.99Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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12.89McGill University0.820.0%1st Place
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6.58Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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12.75University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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9.37Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Saldi | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Rachel Bryer | 19.6% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Booker | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 17.4% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 2.7% |
| Henry Dumke | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 11.0% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 17.0% | 19.1% | 13.2% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| John Wehner | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Jacob Webster | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 23.6% | 36.9% |
| Erin Mullins | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 21.6% | 36.9% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 7.6% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.