Race 4B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Michael Saldi 8.5% 6.9% 9.1% 7.4% 8.3% 10.0% 8.9% 8.7% 8.5% 6.9% 6.7% 4.6% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7%
Michael Booker 9.3% 12.6% 10.7% 9.6% 11.0% 8.8% 8.7% 7.7% 7.3% 5.5% 4.3% 2.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Rachel Bryer 17.7% 16.7% 15.5% 12.5% 9.2% 8.7% 8.0% 4.8% 3.9% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Erin Mullins 8.8% 7.9% 9.6% 10.0% 7.1% 9.3% 8.9% 8.7% 8.2% 7.5% 5.9% 3.9% 3.2% 0.9% 0.1%
Mackenzie Bryan 16.4% 15.7% 11.5% 12.8% 11.7% 9.2% 7.0% 5.4% 4.8% 2.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Viktor Wettergren 3.2% 4.4% 4.4% 4.5% 4.3% 5.8% 6.2% 7.9% 9.5% 10.2% 11.3% 11.1% 8.8% 6.2% 2.2%
Malcolm Lamphere 10.3% 10.0% 9.7% 10.6% 10.1% 9.2% 9.9% 7.9% 6.9% 5.9% 4.2% 2.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
Margaret Kilvert 5.6% 4.0% 6.0% 4.9% 8.2% 6.1% 7.8% 8.7% 8.3% 9.3% 10.4% 8.7% 6.9% 3.8% 1.3%
Henry Dumke 6.2% 7.0% 7.1% 8.6% 9.1% 8.7% 8.9% 9.4% 7.8% 8.1% 9.3% 5.4% 3.0% 1.3% 0.1%
Dylan Finneran 4.2% 3.4% 4.4% 4.3% 5.9% 6.5% 6.1% 7.8% 9.1% 9.5% 10.5% 10.3% 9.5% 6.3% 2.2%
John Wehner 3.7% 5.4% 4.2% 5.9% 6.3% 6.6% 6.3% 8.4% 8.2% 9.4% 9.8% 9.6% 8.0% 5.9% 2.3%
Emmet Todd 0.9% 0.7% 0.5% 1.1% 0.7% 1.4% 1.6% 1.9% 1.8% 4.2% 3.7% 7.1% 12.0% 23.7% 38.7%
Jacob Webster 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 1.5% 2.1% 1.8% 1.9% 2.7% 3.7% 4.2% 7.0% 12.1% 23.0% 37.0%
Kyle Brego 1.6% 1.4% 1.6% 2.8% 2.9% 2.7% 3.7% 4.4% 5.5% 7.3% 7.6% 12.0% 15.9% 18.0% 12.6%
Shannon Killian 3.2% 3.1% 4.8% 4.1% 3.7% 4.9% 6.2% 6.4% 7.5% 7.8% 9.7% 13.9% 13.8% 8.2% 2.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.