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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.70+1.09vs Predicted
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2Clemson University-0.11+1.29vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.47-0.47vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-0.33-0.42vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-1.75+0.61vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina-1.80-0.21vs Predicted
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7University of Tennessee-2.12-0.99vs Predicted
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8University of Tennessee-3.08-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09Jacksonville University0.7039.0%1st Place
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3.29Clemson University-0.1115.6%1st Place
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2.53North Carolina State University0.4727.4%1st Place
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3.58Jacksonville University-0.3310.8%1st Place
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5.61University of North Carolina-1.752.2%1st Place
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5.79University of South Carolina-1.802.3%1st Place
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6.01University of Tennessee-2.121.8%1st Place
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7.11University of Tennessee-3.080.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiona Froelich | 39.0% | 30.1% | 18.6% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Neil Bunce | 15.6% | 16.2% | 23.4% | 23.6% | 13.2% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Marc Hauenstein | 27.4% | 26.3% | 21.8% | 16.8% | 6.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cheyenne Dooley | 10.8% | 15.8% | 19.1% | 25.6% | 18.4% | 8.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Runyon Tyler | 2.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 19.7% | 28.1% | 21.3% | 10.7% |
| Tyler Williams | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 17.7% | 25.6% | 26.5% | 12.3% |
| Luke Ritchie | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 15.7% | 20.8% | 29.6% | 17.7% |
| Avery Roth | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 18.8% | 59.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.