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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.19+6.83vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University3.92+6.99vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.70+6.98vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.62+5.89vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.66+4.82vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.77+3.45vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+2.32vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.66+1.85vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.62+1.02vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.64+0.25vs Predicted
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11Boston University4.07-2.80vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College4.06-3.47vs Predicted
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13Harvard University4.36-6.25vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.50-3.74vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-5.76vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.90-2.93vs Predicted
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17Brown University4.30-9.68vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University3.07-5.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.83Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.99Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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9.98Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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9.89University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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9.82Connecticut College3.660.0%1st Place
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9.45Georgetown University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Naval Academy3.660.0%1st Place
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10.02University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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10.25College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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8.2Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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8.53Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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6.75Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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10.26Boston College3.500.0%1st Place
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9.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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13.07Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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7.32Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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12.22Roger Williams University3.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Morris | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% |
| Coleman Bowen | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% |
| Michael Marshall | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% |
| Michael Campbell | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% |
| Philip Crain | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% |
| Jason Carminati | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% |
| Matthew Carmody | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% |
| Mac Mace | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 5.3% |
| Ben Greenfield | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Sam Williams | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Brendan Kopp | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Emily Maxwell | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% |
| Megan Magill | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% |
| Emilie Mademann | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 23.4% |
| Tommy Fink | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| George Saunders | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.