Race 5B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Michael Saldi 8.4% 7.0% 10.2% 7.5% 8.4% 8.3% 9.2% 8.0% 8.3% 7.6% 7.3% 4.9% 2.5% 2.1% 0.3%
Rachel Bryer 18.5% 19.1% 13.3% 11.3% 10.6% 8.9% 6.3% 5.0% 2.7% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Mackenzie Bryan 17.1% 15.5% 15.2% 10.6% 11.7% 8.8% 7.4% 5.5% 3.8% 2.8% 0.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Booker 10.3% 11.6% 9.9% 11.1% 7.0% 10.9% 8.3% 8.3% 8.2% 5.4% 4.2% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.4%
Malcolm Lamphere 9.2% 10.9% 9.3% 10.4% 10.0% 8.9% 9.8% 9.1% 6.0% 6.3% 4.5% 2.9% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Dylan Finneran 3.6% 4.6% 4.4% 4.6% 5.4% 5.4% 7.7% 6.8% 8.1% 9.4% 10.7% 12.7% 10.0% 4.5% 2.1%
Erin Mullins 9.5% 6.8% 9.1% 9.0% 9.5% 9.0% 8.9% 10.3% 8.0% 6.6% 4.8% 5.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Jacob Webster 0.8% 1.2% 1.4% 0.4% 1.3% 2.0% 1.6% 2.7% 2.9% 3.6% 4.7% 7.2% 10.7% 22.7% 36.8%
Shannon Killian 2.3% 3.3% 3.4% 4.0% 4.2% 6.1% 6.4% 5.3% 9.6% 9.4% 12.0% 10.1% 12.1% 9.0% 2.8%
Henry Dumke 6.1% 6.4% 6.1% 9.4% 8.3% 9.2% 9.6% 8.2% 9.3% 8.1% 6.5% 5.5% 4.5% 2.6% 0.2%
John Wehner 3.8% 4.4% 5.9% 5.9% 6.7% 5.8% 6.9% 7.9% 8.3% 8.5% 9.9% 8.2% 9.1% 6.1% 2.6%
Margaret Kilvert 4.0% 3.7% 5.4% 6.5% 7.7% 6.2% 6.4% 8.8% 9.5% 9.7% 9.8% 9.1% 8.3% 4.0% 0.9%
Viktor Wettergren 4.1% 3.1% 3.7% 5.5% 5.4% 5.7% 5.3% 7.2% 7.2% 10.7% 10.2% 11.6% 10.8% 7.1% 2.4%
Kyle Brego 1.5% 1.6% 1.5% 2.5% 2.8% 2.6% 3.9% 4.3% 6.0% 6.3% 8.5% 10.7% 15.5% 19.4% 12.9%
Emmet Todd 0.8% 0.8% 1.2% 1.3% 1.0% 2.2% 2.3% 2.6% 2.1% 3.3% 4.8% 8.2% 10.1% 20.8% 38.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.