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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.25+4.66vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+6.58vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.85+3.93vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.94+2.68vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.54+3.08vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.06+0.31vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.39+1.37vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.84-3.85vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.27-3.36vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+1.21vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.77-6.55vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.28-3.01vs Predicted
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13McGill University0.82-0.19vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.78-1.22vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.08-5.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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6.93Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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6.68Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.08Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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6.31Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.37Northeastern University2.390.1%1st Place
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4.15University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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5.64University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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11.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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4.45Roger Williams University3.770.2%1st Place
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8.99Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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12.81McGill University0.820.0%1st Place
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12.78University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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9.37Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Lamphere | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 1.3% |
| Henry Dumke | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Michael Saldi | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Erin Mullins | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| John Wehner | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 1.6% |
| Rachel Bryer | 18.8% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Booker | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 18.4% | 17.4% | 14.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 16.3% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 1.8% |
| Jacob Webster | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 22.2% | 38.6% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 21.7% | 37.6% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.