← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont3.27+4.65vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island3.84+1.99vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.25+2.67vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+4.63vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University2.39+3.47vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University2.28+2.84vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.85-0.01vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College2.54+0.02vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University3.77-4.77vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College3.06-3.55vs Predicted
-
11Boston University2.94-4.20vs Predicted
-
12Salve Regina University2.08-2.35vs Predicted
-
13McGill University0.82-0.21vs Predicted
-
14University of New Hampshire0.78-1.27vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.65University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
-
3.99University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
-
5.67Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
-
8.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
-
8.47Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
-
8.84Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
-
6.99Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
-
8.02Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
-
4.23Roger Williams University3.770.2%1st Place
-
6.45Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
-
6.8Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
-
9.65Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
-
12.79McGill University0.820.0%1st Place
-
12.73University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
-
11.08Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Booker | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 19.4% | 17.7% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% |
| John Wehner | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 2.8% |
| Henry Dumke | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 17.0% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Michael Saldi | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 3.7% |
| Jacob Webster | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 12.6% | 22.1% | 36.9% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 12.1% | 21.8% | 36.6% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 19.0% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.