Race 8B

hewitt

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Rachel Bryer 19.1% 19.1% 13.0% 10.6% 11.8% 8.7% 5.7% 4.1% 3.2% 1.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1%
Viktor Wettergren 4.1% 4.5% 4.1% 5.3% 5.9% 6.9% 7.3% 6.7% 8.3% 8.8% 11.3% 10.5% 7.4% 6.9% 2.0%
Jacob Webster 1.1% 1.0% 0.7% 2.1% 1.6% 0.9% 1.7% 3.4% 2.9% 2.6% 5.7% 7.2% 10.8% 21.4% 36.9%
Malcolm Lamphere 10.2% 10.5% 10.8% 8.8% 9.8% 10.6% 8.7% 8.4% 6.8% 6.7% 3.7% 2.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.4%
Michael Booker 10.9% 10.6% 8.8% 7.9% 10.9% 9.9% 10.0% 9.3% 6.6% 4.7% 3.9% 3.4% 2.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Dylan Finneran 3.6% 3.9% 4.7% 5.1% 5.0% 6.3% 7.0% 6.1% 9.2% 10.6% 9.1% 12.2% 10.3% 4.6% 2.3%
Henry Dumke 7.4% 5.8% 8.1% 7.1% 8.5% 8.9% 8.4% 8.9% 9.4% 8.0% 6.9% 5.7% 4.6% 1.6% 0.7%
Michael Saldi 7.9% 8.1% 6.7% 10.4% 7.7% 6.4% 9.3% 9.6% 8.1% 7.5% 7.6% 5.4% 2.8% 2.5% 0.0%
Margaret Kilvert 4.7% 3.9% 5.5% 6.5% 8.3% 7.0% 8.2% 9.4% 8.0% 9.0% 11.1% 7.5% 7.1% 3.4% 0.4%
Mackenzie Bryan 15.6% 14.5% 17.1% 12.9% 8.7% 9.5% 6.6% 5.4% 3.5% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
John Wehner 3.8% 4.6% 5.1% 5.4% 5.7% 6.9% 7.6% 7.8% 8.0% 8.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.5% 6.4% 2.5%
Erin Mullins 7.0% 7.5% 8.6% 10.6% 7.9% 8.3% 8.4% 8.9% 9.9% 9.2% 4.8% 5.0% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Shannon Killian 2.6% 3.3% 4.1% 3.3% 4.7% 4.6% 5.0% 5.9% 7.1% 8.9% 10.6% 13.1% 11.7% 11.3% 3.8%
Kyle Brego 1.4% 1.7% 1.7% 3.0% 2.1% 3.0% 3.5% 3.6% 6.3% 6.7% 7.6% 11.0% 15.9% 19.7% 12.8%
Emmet Todd 0.6% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.4% 2.1% 2.6% 2.5% 2.7% 2.9% 5.0% 5.9% 12.6% 20.7% 38.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.