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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+7.54vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.39+6.30vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+8.05vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.27+1.72vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.08+4.41vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.77-1.74vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.94-0.31vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.06-1.59vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.54-1.04vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire0.78+2.86vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.85-3.88vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.28-2.95vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.84-8.71vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.25-8.30vs Predicted
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15McGill University0.82-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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8.3Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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11.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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5.72University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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9.41Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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4.26Roger Williams University3.770.2%1st Place
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6.69Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.41Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.96Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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12.86University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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7.12Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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9.05Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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4.29University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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5.7Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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12.62McGill University0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Finneran | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.3% |
| John Wehner | 3.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Kyle Brego | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 15.6% | 17.5% | 13.8% |
| Michael Booker | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 3.5% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 17.4% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 23.2% | 38.4% |
| Henry Dumke | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 2.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 16.8% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Webster | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 13.1% | 21.6% | 35.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.