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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.77+3.27vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.39+6.27vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.28+5.74vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.25+1.68vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.54+3.04vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.85+1.00vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.94-0.35vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.06-1.60vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+2.17vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.84-5.85vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.78+1.78vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.27-6.08vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-4.09vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.08-4.66vs Predicted
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15McGill University0.82-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.27Roger Williams University3.770.2%1st Place
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8.27Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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8.74Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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5.68Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.04Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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7.0Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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6.65Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.4Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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4.15University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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12.78University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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5.92University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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8.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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9.34Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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12.68McGill University0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Bryan | 17.1% | 18.1% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| John Wehner | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 1.9% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 10.4% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Henry Dumke | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Michael Saldi | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 15.9% | 19.7% | 12.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 17.0% | 16.6% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 11.8% | 20.4% | 39.4% |
| Michael Booker | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 3.1% |
| Jacob Webster | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 24.0% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.