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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.27+4.63vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+2.03vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.25+2.64vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.77+0.32vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.94+1.74vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+2.72vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.28+1.71vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+3.14vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.85-2.08vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.08-0.52vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.54-2.96vs Predicted
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12McGill University0.82+0.91vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.39-4.33vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.78-1.25vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College3.06-8.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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4.03University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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5.64Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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4.32Roger Williams University3.770.2%1st Place
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6.74Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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8.71Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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11.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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6.92Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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9.48Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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8.04Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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12.91McGill University0.820.0%1st Place
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8.67Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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12.75University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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6.3Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Booker | 11.3% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 18.7% | 17.4% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 16.3% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 19.6% | 13.0% |
| Henry Dumke | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 4.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Jacob Webster | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 22.7% | 38.0% |
| John Wehner | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 1.8% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 23.0% | 36.5% |
| Erin Mullins | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.