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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+3.07vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.77+2.17vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.06+3.28vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+4.69vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.28+3.83vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.25-0.25vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.94-0.33vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.27-2.28vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.85-2.06vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.39-1.44vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.54-2.95vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.08-2.33vs Predicted
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13McGill University0.82-0.22vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-2.85vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.78-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.07University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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4.17Roger Williams University3.770.2%1st Place
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6.28Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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8.83Tufts University2.280.0%1st Place
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5.75Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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6.67Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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5.72University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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6.94Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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8.56Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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8.05Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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9.67Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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12.78McGill University0.820.0%1st Place
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11.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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12.68University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 18.5% | 19.2% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 18.2% | 18.0% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 2.4% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Michael Booker | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Henry Dumke | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| John Wehner | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 3.3% |
| Jacob Webster | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 22.2% | 37.0% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 17.1% | 18.9% | 12.1% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 21.7% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.