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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College3.83+6.55vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.50+6.84vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+4.81vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.61+0.99vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.68+3.08vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.67+2.48vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.50+2.04vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.50+0.81vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.54+0.05vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.80+1.55vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.93+0.22vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.60+2.97vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University4.51-7.64vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-5.25vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.92-7.63vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan2.35-2.83vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.79-9.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.55Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Naval Academy3.500.1%1st Place
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7.81St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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4.99College of Charleston4.610.2%1st Place
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8.08Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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8.48Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.04Boston College3.500.0%1st Place
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8.81Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.05Old Dominion University3.540.0%1st Place
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11.55University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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11.22University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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14.97Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
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5.36Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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8.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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7.37University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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13.17University of Michigan2.350.0%1st Place
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7.98Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cara Vavolotis | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Christina Pryne | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Megan Magill | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Allison Blecher | 15.6% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Shea | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Emily Maxwell | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Katrina Williams | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 8.7% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 8.3% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 8.3% | 14.4% | 52.8% |
| Sydney Bolger | 13.7% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Patten | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Amy Hawkins | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Christina Baker | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 22.7% | 19.4% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.