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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+1.18vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.04+0.95vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64+0.56vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College0.50-0.58vs Predicted
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5Cornell University0.93-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1338.2%1st Place
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2.95University of Pennsylvania1.0418.4%1st Place
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3.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.6411.5%1st Place
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3.42SUNY Maritime College0.5012.3%1st Place
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2.89Cornell University0.9319.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Klempen | 38.2% | 26.8% | 19.2% | 10.7% | 5.1% |
| Ian Fox | 18.4% | 21.0% | 23.6% | 21.1% | 16.0% |
| Calvin Marsh | 11.5% | 13.8% | 16.9% | 23.6% | 34.3% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 12.3% | 16.0% | 18.4% | 23.4% | 29.9% |
| Boris Bialer | 19.6% | 22.5% | 21.9% | 21.3% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.