← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Clemson University-0.11+2.26vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University-0.33+1.55vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University0.70-0.86vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University0.47-1.43vs Predicted
-
5University of North Carolina-1.75+0.61vs Predicted
-
6University of South Carolina-1.80-0.21vs Predicted
-
7University of Tennessee-2.12-1.03vs Predicted
-
8University of Tennessee-3.08-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.26Clemson University-0.1115.8%1st Place
-
3.55Jacksonville University-0.3311.7%1st Place
-
2.14Jacksonville University0.7036.6%1st Place
-
2.57North Carolina State University0.4727.2%1st Place
-
5.61University of North Carolina-1.752.9%1st Place
-
5.79University of South Carolina-1.802.5%1st Place
-
5.97University of Tennessee-2.122.5%1st Place
-
7.12University of Tennessee-3.080.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Neil Bunce | 15.8% | 16.6% | 23.8% | 22.6% | 14.1% | 5.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Cheyenne Dooley | 11.7% | 15.7% | 20.5% | 24.2% | 16.7% | 8.4% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
Fiona Froelich | 36.6% | 31.9% | 17.2% | 10.2% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Marc Hauenstein | 27.2% | 25.6% | 22.6% | 15.4% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Runyon Tyler | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 20.0% | 23.9% | 24.5% | 10.2% |
Tyler Williams | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 8.3% | 18.0% | 24.3% | 25.8% | 13.4% |
Luke Ritchie | 2.5% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 14.8% | 24.1% | 26.6% | 17.8% |
Avery Roth | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 11.2% | 18.8% | 58.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.