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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University4.30+6.41vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.19+5.82vs Predicted
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3Harvard University4.36+4.05vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.66+5.75vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.64+4.93vs Predicted
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6Boston University4.07+2.16vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.77+2.37vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.70+1.59vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.62+1.03vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-0.40vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-1.49vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.90+1.37vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.62-3.12vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University3.92-5.52vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.66-5.15vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.50-5.33vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College4.06-8.70vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University3.07-5.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.41Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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7.82Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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7.05Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.75Connecticut College3.660.1%1st Place
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9.93College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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8.16Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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9.37Georgetown University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.59Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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10.03University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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9.6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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9.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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13.37Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Rhode Island3.620.1%1st Place
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8.48Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
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10.67Boston College3.500.0%1st Place
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8.3Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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12.2Roger Williams University3.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Fink | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Brendan Kopp | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Michael Marshall | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% |
| Mac Mace | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% |
| Ben Greenfield | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Michael Campbell | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Megan Magill | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% |
| Philip Crain | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% |
| Emilie Mademann | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 13.3% | 27.8% |
| Matthew Carmody | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Jason Carminati | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% |
| Emily Maxwell | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% |
| Sam Williams | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| George Saunders | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.