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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.24+4.14vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+2.72vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.95+3.11vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.45+3.69vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.80+1.70vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.55+1.49vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.91-0.99vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.61+2.11vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-1.69vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.05-4.15vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.15+0.45vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.97-5.91vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.24-1.95vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-4.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.14Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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4.72Boston College3.350.2%1st Place
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6.11University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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7.69Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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6.7Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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7.49University of Vermont2.550.1%1st Place
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6.01Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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10.11Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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7.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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5.85Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.45Salve Regina University1.150.0%1st Place
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6.09Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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11.05University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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9.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravi Parent | 12.6% | 14.9% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 15.3% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Emily Petno | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Matthew Lyons | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Steven Pelissier | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Matteo Alampi | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 18.3% |
| Bradley Brown | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Miranda | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 20.0% | 34.1% |
| Dirk Johnson | 9.0% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 21.1% | 28.3% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.