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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+3.86vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.24+3.03vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.95+3.13vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+1.86vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.55+2.50vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.80+0.68vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.91-1.01vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-0.84vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.45-1.28vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.97-3.87vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-1.55vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.15-0.67vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.61-2.87vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.24-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.86Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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5.03Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.13University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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5.86Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.5University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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6.68Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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5.99Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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7.72Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.13Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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11.33Salve Regina University1.150.0%1st Place
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10.13Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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11.03University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 13.9% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Ravi Parent | 13.3% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.4% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Steven Pelissier | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Matthew Lyons | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Bradley Brown | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Emily Petno | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Dirk Johnson | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 10.9% |
| Matthew Miranda | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 19.1% | 32.2% |
| Matteo Alampi | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 17.3% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 22.6% | 27.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.